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Initially, it wouldn't be whatsoever surprising to find that only 45% are really for Murphy, but just by luck we occurred to speak to an unusually big percentage of Murphy supporters. This can be the challenge of sample dimensions. The more compact the sample, the better the impact of luck on the outcome we get.
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Alternatively, if we sample individuals within the mall when most athletics admirers are at home viewing a big match on tv, we might find an abnormally lower share of Murphy supporters. In either scenario, our effects will likely be misleading.
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